Showing 54 results for Modeling
H. Nozari, S. Azadi, V. Rezaverdinejad,
Volume 23, Issue 1 (6-2019)
Abstract
Due to the growing population, crop production is one of the essential needs of the society. Since soil and water salinity can have a great impact on the crop yield loss; so, the appropriate irrigation method can be applied to reduce these effects. In this study, the system dynamics model was developed using VENSIM. The model simulated the effect of salinity and water stress on the crop yield, moisture and salinity of the root zone. In order to calibrate and validate the model results, 9 treatments data were collected from the Right Abshar Irrigation Network, on the Zayandehrud basin. After statistical analysis and calculation of RMSE index and the standard error, the fit between the measured and simulated crop yield, the moisture and salinity of root zone was calculated. The average of these indexes for all treatments was 2776.98 kg/ha and 0.07 for crop yield, 0.026 and 0.09 for soil moisture and final, 0.54 dS/m and 0.08 for the salinity of root zone, respectively. The results showed that the model could be calibrated accurately and completely in estimating the crop yield with the reasonable accuracy.
S. Barkhordari, M. Hashemy Shahdany, A. Bagherzadeh Khalkhali,
Volume 23, Issue 3 (12-2019)
Abstract
Seepage losses and poor operational activities are the two main source of water losses throughout the agricultural water conveyance and distribution systems in irrigation districts. This study aims to investigate the performances of two strategies of “canal lining” and employing the “Canal Automation” in order to reduce the losses mentioned above. The investigation was carried out on a couple of main canal reaches of Moghan Irrigation Districts. Two numerical models were simulated by Seep/w software to compare the seepage rate between the canal with and without concrete lining. The results reveal that the ability of concrete lining to reduce seepage losses along the canal is about 10%. Performance assessment of the “Canal Automation” strategy to minimize operational losses within the main canal was carried out employing Model Predictive Control (MPC). The results of the latter strategy indicate that employing the MPC not only reduces the operational losses along the canal by 15% but also improves the operation of the main canal so that the minimum efficiency and adequacy performance indicator was obtained 100% and 83% respectively. Therefore; due to Executive considerations and financial constraints in the same cases, the potential of each of the two strategies can be considered to reduce the conveyance and distribution losses and ultimately choose the most suitable option.
M. Khalaj, S. Gohari, S. S. Okhravi,
Volume 23, Issue 3 (12-2019)
Abstract
Experimental and numerical study of scouring pattern on the direct and polo-shaped groynes have been investigated in this paper. In this study, direct and polo-shaped groynes models with a length of 0.12 meter have been used in discharges of 10.5, 15, 20 liters per second in a direct flume. The results showed that the maximum scour depth formed around the groyne head of direct and polo-shaped types has increased with augmentation of flow discharge, which was 0.095 and 0.104 meter in the case of 20 L/s discharge respectively. Also, the width of scour hole was 2.25 and 2 times of effective length of the groyne in direct and polo-shaped groynes respectively. In this regards, maximum scour depth around the head of groyne was seen 0.87 and 0.79 times of the effective length of the groyne. Sand form located at downstream of the direct groyne at the distance of 0.09 and 0.15 meters from the side wall of direct groyne was stretched and extended to about 1.3 times of the channel width as well. While the length of the sand form for direct groyne was 1.15 times of the channel width. Overall, the dimensions of the scour hole around the polo-shaped groyne, was less than the direct groyne. In addition to understanding the hydraulic behaviour around the groyne, Flow3D software was used. Statistical survey of the results obtained by experimental and numerical models attested that the relative error of the numerical model could be about 20%, which shows an appropriate performance of using Flow3D for predicting the maximum scour depth.
A. Rezaei Ahvanooei, H. Karami, F. Mousavi,
Volume 23, Issue 3 (12-2019)
Abstract
In this research, by using FLOW3D, the performance of non-linear (arced) piano key (PKW-NL) in plan and linear piano key weir (PKW-L), with equal length of weir, was compared. Results showed that nonlinearity of the weir caused 20% increase in the discharge coefficient. Investigating the velocity contours for these two weir models also showed that maximum velocity within the PKW-NL weir structure is about 30% lower than the PKW-L weir. Also, the performance of non-linear piano key weir was evaluated under inward (PKW-IC) and outward (PKW-OC) curvatures to the channel. Results showed that in the case of PKW-IC weir, the discharge coefficient was increased by 8% as compared to the PKW-OC weir. Investigating the pressure contours for these two weir models also shows that the average pressure within the PKW-IC weir structure is about 5% higher than the PKW-OC weir. This increase in pressure leads to a decrease in the speed and better distribution of flow over the weir keys.
M. A. Ansari, A. Egdernezhad, N. A. Ebrahimipak,
Volume 23, Issue 4 (12-2019)
Abstract
This study was conducted to evaluate AquaCrop for the simulation of potato yield and water use efficiency (WUE) under different water stress values at five levels (E0, E1, E2, E3 and E4, indicating 100, 85, 70, 50 and 30 percent of crop water needed, respectively) in three times during growth cycles (T1, T2, and T3, indicating 50, 100, and 150 days after sowing, respectively). The results showed that AquaCrop had overestimated and underestimated error for the simulation of yield and WUE, respectively. Based on RMSE and NRMSE values, the errors for yield and WUE were acceptable. The maximum and minimum error were also 0.3 (E1T3) and 3.15 (E1T2), respectively. The results obtained for WUE showed that the maximum and minimum were 0.53 (E3T2) and 0.03 (E4T2), respectively. The average differences between simulated and observed results (ADSO) of WUE for E1, E2, E3 and E4 were 0.24, 0.25, 0.19, and 0.44 ton.ha-1, respectively; the ADSO of yield for T1, T2, and T3 was 0.19, 0.36, and 0.22 ton.ha-1, respectively. Therefore, AquaCrop showed a high error for WUE when water stress was increased and crop was in its initial crop growth.
A. Alizadeh, B. Yaghoubi, S. Shabanlou,
Volume 24, Issue 2 (7-2020)
Abstract
In this study, the discharge coefficient of sharp-crested weirs located on circular channels was modeled using the ANFIS and ANFIS-Firefly (ANFIS-FA) algorithm. Also, the Monte Carlo simulations (MCs) were used to enhance the compatibilities of the soft computing models. However, the k-fold cross validation method (k=5) was used to validate the numerical models. According to the input parameters, four models of ANFIS and ANFIS-FA were introduced. Analyzing the numerical results showed that the superior model simulated the discharge coefficient as a function of the Froude number (Fr) and the ratio of flow depth over weir crest to the weir crest height) h/P(. The values of the mean absolute relative error (MARE), root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R) for the superior model were calculated 0.001, 0.002 and 0.999, respectively. However, the maximum error value for this study was less than 2%.
H. R. Matinfar, Z. Mghsodi, S. R. Mossavi, M. Jalali,
Volume 24, Issue 4 (11-2020)
Abstract
Knowledge about the spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) is one of the practical tools in determining sustainable land management strategies. During the last two decades, the utilization of data mining approaches in spatial modeling of SOC using machine learning algorithms have been widely taken into consideration. The essential step in applying these methods is to determine the environmental predictors of SOC optimally. This research was carried out for modeling and digital mapping of surface SOC aided by soil properties ie., silt, clay, sand, calcium carbonate equivalent percentage, mean weight diameter (MWD) of aggregate, and pH by machine learning methods. In order to evaluate the accuracy of random forest (RF), cubist, partial least squares regression, multivariate linear regression, and ordinary kriging models for predicting surface SOC in 141 selected samples from 0-30 cm in 680 hectares of agricultural land in Khorramabad plain. The sensitivity analysis showed that silt (%), calcium carbonate equivalent, and MWD are the most important driving factors on spatial variability of SOC, respectively. Also, the comparison of different SOC prediction models, demonstrated that the RF model with a coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.75 and 0.25%, respectively, had the best performance rather than other models in the study area. Generally, nonlinear models rather than linear ones showed higher accuracy in modeling the spatial variability of SOC.
K. Ghaderi, B. Motamedvaziri, M. Vafakhah, A.a. Dehghani,
Volume 25, Issue 4 (12-2021)
Abstract
Proper flood discharge forecasting is significant for the design of hydraulic structures, reducing the risk of failure, and minimizing downstream environmental damage. The objective of this study was to investigate the application of machine learning methods in Regional Flood Frequency Analysis (RFFA). To achieve this goal, 18 physiographic, climatic, lithological, and land use parameters were considered for the upstream basins of the hydrometric stations located in Karkheh and Karun watersheds (46 stations with a statistical length of 21 years). The best Probability Distribution Function (pdf) was then determined using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test at each station to estimate the flood discharge with a return period of 50-year using maximum likelihood methods and L-moments. Finally, RFFA was performed using a decision tree, Bayesian network, and artificial neural network. The results showed that the log Pearson type 3 distribution in the maximum likelihood method and the generalized normal distribution in the L moment method are the best possible regional pdfs. Based on the gamma test, the parameters of the perimeter, basin length, shape factor, and mainstream length were selected as the best input structure. The results of regional flood frequency analysis showed that the Bayesian model with the L moment method (R2 = 0.7) has the best estimate compared to other methods. Decision tree and artificial neural network were in the following ranks.
S. Azadi, H. Nozari, S. Marofi, Dr. B. Ghanbarian,
Volume 26, Issue 1 (5-2022)
Abstract
In the present study, a model was developed using a system dynamics approach to simulate and optimize the profitability of crops of the Jofeyr (Isargaran) Irrigation and Drainage Network located in Khuzestan Province. To validate the results, the statistical indicators of root mean square error (RMSE), standard error (SE), mean biased error (MBE), and determination coefficient (R2) were used. To validate the simulation results of the benefit-cost ratio, the values of these indicators were obtained 0.25, 0.19, 0.005, and 0.96, respectively. Then, to determine the optimal cultivated area of the network and increase the profitability, the cropping pattern was determined both non-stepwise and stepwise in 2013 to 2017 cropping years. In the non-stepwise, the cultivated area of each crop changed from zero to 2 times of current situation. In stepwise, due to social and cultural conditions of inhabitants, this change was slow and 10% of the current situation every year. The analysis of the results showed the success of the model in optimizing and achieving the desired goals and the total benefit-cost ratio increased in all years both non-stepwise and stepwise. For example, in 2017 compared to 2016, production costs decreased by 7.1 percent and sales prices increased by 5.8 percent, and increased the benefit-cost in 2017 compared to the previous year. The results showed that the present model has good accuracy in simulating and optimizing the irrigation network, its cropping pattern, and defining other scenarios.
G.m. Samadi, F. Mousavi, H. Karami,
Volume 26, Issue 3 (12-2022)
Abstract
The impact of different management options on the region and the existing conditions can be evaluated with minimal cost and time to select the most practical case using various tools including mathematical models. In this study, the SWAT hydrological model was performed from 2009 to 2019 using climatic, hydrological, and hydrometric data in the Malayer catchment, and the final model was validated by SWAT-CUP. To reduce the amount of uncertainty in the input parameters to the MODFLOW model, using the values of surface recharge from the implementation of the SWAT hydrological model, quantitative modeling of Malayer aquifer was performed more reliably in GMS software by using MODFLOW model. After modeling the study area in the 2009-2018 period and calibrating the model in the years from 2018 to 2019, the mean values of absolute error (MAE) were 0.35-0.65 m, and root means square error (RMSE) was 0.62-0.94 m, which seems acceptable considering computational and observational heads equal to 1650 m. Results of water level changes in observation wells located in the Malayer region indicate that the groundwater level in the aquifer has decreased by an average value of 9.7 m in the 10-year study period.
M. Hayatzadeh, M. Eshghizadeh, V. ,
Volume 26, Issue 4 (12-2022)
Abstract
The land use change as well as changes in climatic parameters such as temperature increase affect many natural processes such as soil erosion and sediment production, floods, and degradation of physical and chemical properties of soil. Therefore, it is necessary to pay attention to different aspects of the effect of these changes in studies and macro decisions of the country. In the present study, the SWAT conceptual model was used to test and analyze the existing scenarios in the Marvast basin. After calibrating the model, the two scenarios were tested. The first scenario is in the field of agricultural management and conversion of gardens to agricultural lands and the second scenario is a 0.5-degree increase in temperature by assuming other conditions are constant. The calibration and validation results of the model with the Nash-Sutcliffe test showed 0.66 and 0.68 respectively, which indicate the acceptable performance of the model in the study area. Then, the results of using two scenarios of land use change and heating, especially in recent years showed the effect of 30 percent of the climate scenario on the increase of flooding in the basin. The scenario of changing the use of garden lands to agriculture in two cases of 20% and 50% change of use of 10% and 12% was added to the flooding of the basin. The results indicate that in similar areas of the study area which is located in a dry climate zone, a possible increase in temperature can have a significant effect on flooding in the basin. However, the indirect impact of the human factor in increasing greenhouse gases and flooding in the basin should not be ignored.
A.r. Emadi, S. Fazeli, M. Hooshmand, S. Zamanzad-Ghavidel, R. Sobhani,
Volume 27, Issue 1 (5-2023)
Abstract
The agricultural sector as one of the most important sectors of water consumption has great importance for the sustainability of the country's water resources systems. The objective of this study was to estimate the river water abstraction (RWA) for agricultural consumption in the study area of Nobaran in the Namak Lake basin. The RWA was estimated using variables related to morphological, hydrological, and land use factors, as well as a combination of their variables collected through field sampling. Data mining methods such as adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS), group method of data handling (GMDH), radial basis function (RBF), and regression trees (Rtree) were also used to estimate the RWA variables. In the current study, the GMDH24 model with a combined scenario including the variables of river width, river depth, minimum flow, maximum flow, average flow, crop, and the garden cultivated area was adopted as the best model to estimate the RWA variable. The RMSE value for the combined scenario of the GMDH24 model was found to be 0.046 for estimating RWA in the Nobaran study area. The results showed that the performance of the GMDH24 model for estimating RWA for maximum values is very acceptable and promising. Therefore, modeling and identifying various variables that affect the optimal RWA rate for agricultural purposes fulfills the objectives of integrated water resources management (IWRM).
P. Mohit-Isfahanii, V. Chitsaz,
Volume 27, Issue 1 (5-2023)
Abstract
Introducing reliable regional models to predict the maximum discharge of floods using characteristics of sub-basins has special importance in terms of flood management and designing hydraulic structures in basins that have no hydrometric station. The present study has tried to provide appropriate regional flood models using generalized linear models (GLMs) to estimate 2-, 10-, 50-, and 100-year maximum daily discharges of 62 sub-basins in Great-Karoon and Karkhe basins. According to the results, the sub-basins were categorized into four sub-regions based on some physiographic and climatic characteristics of the study sub-basins. The results showed that regional flood modeling was successful in all sub-regions except sub-region II, which includes very large basins (A̅≈17300 km2). The adjusted R2 of the best models in sub-regions I, III, and IV were estimated at around 82.4, 91.3, and 90.6 percent, and these models have a relative error (RRMSE) of around 9.5, 9.23, and 6.7 percent, respectively. Also, it was found that more frequent floods with 2- and 10-year return periods are influenced by properties such as basin’s length, perimeter, and area, while rare floods with 50- and 100-year return periods are mostly influenced by the river systems characteristics such as the main river length, total lengths of the river system, and slope of the main river. According to the research, it can be stated that the behavior of maximum daily discharges in the study area is extremely influenced by the different climatic and physiographic characteristics of the watersheds. Therefore, the maximum daily discharges can be estimated accurately at ungauged sites by appropriate modeling in gauged catchments.
S. Azadi, H. Nozari, S. Marofi, B. Ghanbarian,
Volume 27, Issue 3 (12-2023)
Abstract
One of the strategies for agricultural development is the optimal use of irrigation and drainage networks, which will lead to higher productivity and environmental protection. The present study used the system dynamics approach to develop a model for simulating the cultivated area of the Shahid Chamran irrigation and drainage network located in Khuzestan province by considering environmental issues. Limit test and sensitivity analysis were used for model validation. The results showed the proper performance of the model and the logical relationship between its parameters. Also, the cropping pattern of the network was determined in two modes of non-stepwise and stepwise changes to determine the optimal cultivated area of the Shahid Chamran network with environmental objectives and minimize the amount of salt from drains. The results showed that the amount of optimized output salt from the network has decreased in both non-stepwise and stepwise changes compared to the existing situation in the region. The total output salt in the current situation, from 2013 to 2017, was obtained at 2799, 2649, 2749, 2298, and 2004 tons.day-1, respectively, in the stepwise changes, are 2739, 2546, 2644, 2223, and 1952 tons.day-1, and finally, in the non-stepwise changes, are 2363, 2309, 2481, 2151, and 1912 tons.day-1. The results showed that the non-stepwise changes due to considered limitations have been more successful in reducing output salt than the stepwise changes. The analysis of the results showed the model's success in optimizing and achieving the desired goals. The results showed that the present model has good accuracy in simulating and optimizing the irrigation network, cropping pattern, and defining other scenarios.
I. Kazemi Roshkhari, A. Asadi Vaighan, M. Azari,
Volume 28, Issue 1 (5-2024)
Abstract
Due to climate change and human activities, the quality and quantity of water have become the most important concern of most of the countries in the world. In addition, changes in land use and climate are known as two important and influential factors in discharge. In this research, four climate change models including
HADGEM2-ES, GISS-E-R, CSIRO-M-K-3-6-0, and CNRM-CM5.0 under two extreme scenarios RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 were used as climate change scenarios in the future period of 2020-2050. The future land use scenario (2050) was prepared using the CA-Markov algorithm in IDRISI software using land use maps in 1983 and 2020. The SWAT model was calibrated to better simulate hydrological processes from 1984 to 2012 and validated from 2013 to 2019 and was used to evaluate the separate and combined effects of climate change and land use on discharge. The prediction of the climate change impact on discharge showed a decrease in most of the models under the two scenarios RCP2.6 and RCP8.5. The average maximum decrease and increase under the RCP2.6 scenario is 60 and 30 percent, respectively. This significant reduction is greater than that predicted under the RCP8.5 scenario. Examining the combined effects of climate and land use change revealed that the average decrease in discharge in the months of October, November, December, and January under two scenarios is 46.2 and 58%, respectively. The average increase in discharge is predicted to be 47% under the RCP8.5 in the months of April and May in the HadGEM2ES.
R. Daneshfaraz, M. Majedi Asl, T. Omidpour Alavian,
Volume 29, Issue 1 (4-2025)
Abstract
Weirs play a crucial role in flood management and dam safety, accounting for a significant portion of the construction costs of dams. The selection of floods with long return periods for flood design is of utmost importance. However, in some cases, increasing the weir capacity by widening it may be impossible due to topographical limitations. One solution to enhance the flow capacity of weirs is the application of labyrinth weirs. These weirs increase the effective length of the weir crest within a given width, allowing for the passage of higher flow rates while maintaining similar hydraulic conditions. In this study, the hydraulic performance of labyrinth weirs is investigated using the Flow3D numerical model and laboratory data. Since laboratory experiments are time-consuming and costly, employing numerical simulations to achieve more accurate and reliable results for evaluating the hydraulic behavior of labyrinth weirs is prioritized. The results of the simulations indicate that the Flow3D software, utilizing statistical parameters such as R², DC, and RMSE, achieves values of (0.9805, 0.9725, and 0.0142), respectively. This demonstrates its capability to model the flow passing through weirs with high accuracy. The obtained values of the discharge coefficient in Flow3D show a high agreement with the laboratory data from Crookston. The approximate alignment of these results indicates the high accuracy of the numerical model. Additionally, in comparison to different discharges, the relative computational error observed for flow rates of 0.35, 0.6, and 0.44 (cubic meters per second) was approximately 0.5 percent, while for flow rates of 0.3, 0.4, and 0.57, the corresponding errors were 8, 6, and 4 percent, respectively. The results indicate that these tools can be effectively utilized in precise hydraulic analyses and the optimization of weir designs, irrigation systems, and fluid dynamics phenomena.
Ali Akbarian Khalilabad, Hojat Karami, Seyed Farhad Mousavi,
Volume 29, Issue 3 (10-2025)
Abstract
The reduction of soil permeability due to the sedimentation of suspended particles is a significant challenge to the efficient operation of artificial recharge systems. In this study, the effects of sediment concentration (0.5, 2, and 4 g/L), soil particle size, and vertical distribution on clogging processes were investigated using laboratory soil column experiments. The results showed a two-phase decrease in permeability: a rapid initial drop caused by the blockage of coarse pores during the first 10 minutes, followed by a second phase where the system reached a relative equilibrium. Higher sediment concentrations led to a faster decline and lower equilibrium values of permeability. Fine-grained soils, despite having lower initial permeability, demonstrated greater resistance to clogging, while coarse-grained soils experienced more severe reductions. Vertical analysis indicated that the most significant permeability loss occurred at a depth of 40-50 cm, while deeper layers showed increased permeability due to the limited penetration of suspended particles. These findings can inform the selection of appropriate materials, the design of subsurface layers in recharge basins, the prediction of system lifespan, and the regulation of sediment load in inflows to enhance the efficiency and sustainability of artificial recharge systems.
Masoumeh Golestani, Sayed Farhad Mousavi, Hojat Karami,
Volume 29, Issue 3 (10-2025)
Abstract
Groundwater is a vital resource for meeting drinking, agricultural, and industrial needs in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran. In this study, quantitative and qualitative changes in groundwater in the Garmsar Plain were modeled using GIS, MODFLOW, and MT3DMS software during the period 2011-2013. Spatial and climatic data were comprehensively processed and prepared in the GIS environment, and groundwater flow was simulated using the MODFLOW model, and water quality changes were analyzed using the MT3DMS model. After validation with field data from 2012 to 2013, the model showed acceptable accuracy with statistical indicators of mean absolute error (MAE) in the range of 0.4 to 0.5 meters and root mean square error (RMSE) between 0.5 and 0.6 meters. The modeling results showed that a 15% increase in water withdrawal led to a decrease in the water table of up to 8 meters, a constant withdrawal led to a decrease of 7 meters, and a 15% decrease in withdrawal led to a decrease of 5 meters in the water table. From a quality perspective, the decrease in withdrawal improved the quality of irrigation water but increased the concentration of some pollutants, which requires the development of effective management strategies to protect groundwater resources. The findings of this study illustrate the importance of sustainable exploitation and smart management of groundwater resources in the Garmsar Plain.
Amir Mahjoob, . Fouad Kilanehei, Kheirollah Khademi,
Volume 29, Issue 4 (12-2025)
Abstract
One of the most significant hydraulic issues in determining the opening of river bridges is the lack of flow choking due to a reduction in the width of the flood passage. In this paper, determining the required opening for flow passage at a bridge location has been investigated using the concept of specific energy, one-dimensional, and three-dimensional flow modeling. First, the maximum encroachment of the embankments on the sides of the bridge in the river has been determined in such a way that it does not change the flow situation upstream of the bridge, using the concept of specific energy. The dimensions obtained for the bridge opening have been simulated numerically in two one-dimensional and three-dimensional models, and the flow condition at the bridge site and upstream has been evaluated and compared. The results showed that the one-dimensional numerical model predicts, on average, 67 percent higher amount of afflux than the three-dimensional model, while the maximum shear stress obtained from the one-dimensional model is, on average, 33 percent lower than that of the three-dimensional model. The effect of the bridge skewness on the amount of afflux and other hydraulic parameters of the flow, including bed shear stress and maximum velocity, has also been investigated using a three-dimensional model. The afflux was obtained at a 19.2 percent of normal depth at a skew of 40 degrees.
Nasrin Zamani, Jahangir Abedi Koupai, Saeid Eslamian, Afshin Soltani,
Volume 30, Issue 1 (3-2026)
Abstract
Water scarcity has made the agricultural water footprint a critical measure for sustainable resource management, particularly in water-stressed regions such as Iran. This index depends on various factors, including climate, crop yield, dietary habits, and irrigation/agricultural efficiency, which can be estimated more rapidly using modeling approaches. The SSM-iCROP2 model is a simulation model that has been parameterized and evaluated for over 30 crop species in Iran and has been widely used in studies related to crop yield. Since sugar is a key energy source in the food basket, sugarcane occupies vast cultivated areas in the country. Sugarcane is primarily grown in Khuzestan province. This study aimed to apply the aforementioned model to estimate the blue and green water footprint of this strategic crop, using upscaling methods for both potential and farmer-managed conditions from 1992 to 2022. The results showed that the total water footprint of sugarcane (sum of blue, green, and gray water footprints) was 2,251 and 3,134 cubic meters per ton for potential and actual (farmer) conditions, respectively.