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Showing 2 results for Lake Urmia

M. Erfanian, S. Babaei Hessar,
Volume 18, Issue 70 (3-2015)
Abstract

Concerning the drying problem of the Lake Urmia in Iran, so far the relevant scientific research has not been conducted based on watershed management principles. The surface solar radiation (Rs) is one of the key input parameters in most of reference evapotranspiration (ET0) prediction models. In the present research, four solar radiation models were evaluated to predict the monthly-mean values of daily ET0 at seven synoptic stations located in the Lake Urmia basin during the 1985-2005 period. For the ET0 prediction, we applied the Penman-Monteith-FAO 56 model (PMF56). At first, we evaluated four radiation models consisting of Hybrid: H, Ångström-Prescott: AP, Modified Daneshyar: MD, and Modified Sabbagh: MS. Four statistical criteria used included the mean error (ME), the mean absolute error (MAE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the mean percentage error (MPE). The mean RMSE value of hybrid model was 1.7 MJ/m2/day while the RMSEs for the AP, the MD and the MS models were 2.9, 2.3, and 2.9 MJ /m2/day, respectively. The results revealed a higher performance of hybrid model to predict the monthly radiation. In addition, the Rs models used in the original PMF56 model were compared with a case in which the measured daily Rs data was used. Finally, by integrating the hybrid model and the PMF56, we developed a coupled model as PMF56-Hybrid. The application of the Hybrid and the MD models resulted in a decrease in the RMSEs. The AP model used in the PMF56 showed about 19% overestimation.


R. Samadi, Y. Dinpashoh, A. Fakheri-Fard,
Volume 27, Issue 3 (12-2023)
Abstract

A hydrological parameter affecting the management of water resource systems is changes in the amount and occurrence time of extreme precipitation (OTEP). In this research, the seasonality of precipitation in the Lake Urmia (LU) basin was analyzed using the daily extreme precipitation data of 30 rain gauges in the statistical period of 1991-2018. The uniformity of OTEP was tested by Rayleigh and Kuiper’s tests at 0.1, 0.05, and 0.01 levels. The slope of the trend line for OTEP was estimated using the modified Sen slope estimator. The uniformity of OTEP was rejected at each level. The results revealed two strong seasons: late winter and early spring (S1) and autumn (S2) for OTEP. The results showed a general median seasonality index of 0.3, which changed to 0.82 and 0.9 for S1 and S2, respectively, after dividing the whole year into two seasons. The seasonal strength of S1 was similar in both the western and eastern parts of LU, but the west of the lake was stronger than the eastern part in S2. In S1, negative and positive trends in the OTEP were observed on average in 40% and 60% of the stations, respectively, with corresponding values of 77% and 27% for S2, respectively.


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